Assignment help 17344

1.     Delta Manufacturing Corp. is considering the introduction of a new product. The possible levels of unit sales and the probabilities of their occurrence are as follow:

Possible Market Reaction          Unit Sales                             Probabilities

Low response                                 20                                          .10

Moderate response                       40                                          .30

High response                                60                                          .40

Very high response                        90                                          .20

Find (1) the expected value (average) of the unit sales for the new product; (2) the standard deviation of unit sales.

2.     Possible outcomes and the probabilities of their occurrence are shown below for three different investment alternatives. Rank the three alternatives in terms of their risk using the coefficient of variation as the criterion.

                         Alternative 1              Alternative 2                 Alternative 3

                              Outcome   Probability        Outcome  Probability        Outcome     Probability

Failure                 50        .2                  90          .3                      70           .4

Acceptable          70        .4                160          .5                    210           .5

Successful          100        .4                200          .2                    400           .1

3.     Marisol Mercantile can make only one investment so it wants to be sure that it chooses wisely. It can invest in Property A, which will cost $2,000,000 and will return $400,000 per year in years 5 through 10 and $500,000 in years 11 through 20. Property B will cost $2,500,000 and return $300,000 per year for the next 20 years. The cost of capital is 10%. Find which of the two investments Marisol Mercantile should make. (Note: You will be working with a deferred annuity for Property A. Years 5 -10 represent 6 years and years 11 – 20 represent 10 years.)

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